Simulating and forecasting the cumulative confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in China by Boltzmann function-based regression analyses
Identifieur interne : 000225 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000224; suivant : 000226Simulating and forecasting the cumulative confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in China by Boltzmann function-based regression analyses
Auteurs : Xinmiao Fu [République populaire de Chine] ; Qi Ying [États-Unis] ; Tieyong Zeng [République populaire de Chine] ; Tao Long [République populaire de Chine] ; Yan Wang [République populaire de Chine]Source :
- The Journal of Infection [ 0163-4453 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
Cumulative confirmed cases in China were well fitted with Boltzmann function. Potential total numbers of confirmed cases in different regions were estimated. Key dates indicating minimal daily number of new confirmed cases were estimated. Cumulative confirmed cases of 2003 SARS-CoV were well fitted to Boltzmann function. The Boltzmann function was, for the first time, applied to epidemic analysis.
Url:
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2020.02.019
PubMed: 32112887
PubMed Central: 7127674
Affiliations:
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Cellular Stress Response and Metabolic Regulation, College of Life Sciences, Fujian Normal University (Qishan campus), Room 214, Ligong Building, Fuzhou, Fujian 350117, China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Provincial University Key Laboratory of Cellular Stress Response and Metabolic Regulation, College of Life Sciences, Fujian Normal University (Qishan campus), Room 214, Ligong Building, Fuzhou, Fujian 350117</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Fujian 350117</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ying, Qi" sort="Ying, Qi" uniqKey="Ying Q" first="Qi" last="Ying">Qi Ying</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff0002">Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Texas</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zeng, Tieyong" sort="Zeng, Tieyong" uniqKey="Zeng T" first="Tieyong" last="Zeng">Tieyong Zeng</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff0003">Department of mathematics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, NT, Hong Kong 99999, China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of mathematics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, NT, Hong Kong 99999</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université chinoise de Hong Kong</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Sha Tin</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Long, Tao" sort="Long, Tao" uniqKey="Long T" first="Tao" last="Long">Tao Long</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff0004">Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Ministry of Ecology and Environment</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, Yan" sort="Wang, Yan" uniqKey="Wang Y" first="Yan" last="Wang">Yan Wang</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff0001">Provincial University Key Laboratory of Cellular Stress Response and Metabolic Regulation, College of Life Sciences, Fujian Normal University (Qishan campus), Room 214, Ligong Building, Fuzhou, Fujian 350117, China</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Provincial University Key Laboratory of Cellular Stress Response and Metabolic Regulation, College of Life Sciences, Fujian Normal University (Qishan campus), Room 214, Ligong Building, Fuzhou, Fujian 350117</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Fujian 350117</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">The Journal of Infection</title><idno type="ISSN">0163-4453</idno><idno type="eISSN">1532-2742</idno><imprint><date when="2020">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Highlights</title><p><list list-type="simple" id="celist0001"><list-item id="celistitem0001"><label>•</label><p id="para0001">Cumulative confirmed cases in China were well fitted with Boltzmann function.</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0002"><label>•</label><p id="para0002">Potential total numbers of confirmed cases in different regions were estimated.</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0003"><label>•</label><p id="para0003">Key dates indicating minimal daily number of new confirmed cases were estimated.</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0004"><label>•</label><p id="para0004">Cumulative confirmed cases of 2003 SARS-CoV were well fitted to Boltzmann function.</p></list-item><list-item id="celistitem0005"><label>•</label><p id="para0005">The Boltzmann function was, for the first time, applied to epidemic analysis.</p></list-item></list></p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Tang, J W" uniqKey="Tang J">J.W. Tang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Tambyah, P A" uniqKey="Tambyah P">P.A. Tambyah</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hui, D S C" uniqKey="Hui D">D.S.C. Hui</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wang, C" uniqKey="Wang C">C. Wang</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wu, F" uniqKey="Wu F">F. Wu</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Zhou, P" uniqKey="Zhou P">P. Zhou</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Lu, R" uniqKey="Lu R">R. Lu</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wu, J T" uniqKey="Wu J">J.T. Wu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leung, K" uniqKey="Leung K">K. Leung</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leung, G M" uniqKey="Leung G">G.M. Leung</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Huang, N E" uniqKey="Huang N">N.E. Huang</name></author><author><name sortKey="Qiao, F" uniqKey="Qiao F">F. Qiao</name></author></analytic></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>République populaire de Chine</li><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Texas</li></region><settlement><li>Sha Tin</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université chinoise de Hong Kong</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="République populaire de Chine"><noRegion><name sortKey="Fu, Xinmiao" sort="Fu, Xinmiao" uniqKey="Fu X" first="Xinmiao" last="Fu">Xinmiao Fu</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Long, Tao" sort="Long, Tao" uniqKey="Long T" first="Tao" last="Long">Tao Long</name><name sortKey="Wang, Yan" sort="Wang, Yan" uniqKey="Wang Y" first="Yan" last="Wang">Yan Wang</name><name sortKey="Zeng, Tieyong" sort="Zeng, Tieyong" uniqKey="Zeng T" first="Tieyong" last="Zeng">Tieyong Zeng</name></country><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Texas"><name sortKey="Ying, Qi" sort="Ying, Qi" uniqKey="Ying Q" first="Qi" last="Ying">Qi Ying</name></region></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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